La Russophobe has moved!

You should be automatically redirected in 6 seconds. If not, visit
and update your bookmarks.

Tuesday, October 02, 2007

Putin, Part II

So now it's official. Putin will not give up power. He will clutch it to his breast until he breathes his pathetic last, just like every other ruler of Russia (except Boris Yeltsin) has always done. He will remain ruler of Russia, merely exchanging the title "president" for the title "prime minister" and retaining all the accountrements of power while technically obeying the constitution. Or maybe you think Russia's next president will be able to fire Putin if he decides he doesn't like him? Putin will transform the nature of national power by fiat and for his own convenience, just as he has done in regard to the election of governors at the local level. Hey, presto, the presidency is now the prime ministry, the real power, and vice versa. The presidency becomes a figurehead. Once more, the malignant little troll spits his poison on the withered soul of Russian democracy.

This might be great news! If Putin was willing to stand down, it would mean he believes the country can be controlled without his physical presence, and that would imply his grip on the nation is unbreakable. But he's worried! He's scared to step aside, so he's just moving some chairs around. This means he's vulnerable, and the chance for democratic reform persists.

Of course, it could simply mean he's a power-crazed meglomaniac who can't give up power no matter how firm his prospects. And, of course, does not mean we will see courageous action by the people of Russia to pull their nation back from the brink of destruction even if Putin is vulnerable, and courageous action is necessary to confront the whims of an autocrat.

The Washington Post reports:

President Vladimir Putin said Monday he would lead the dominant party's ticket in December parliamentary elections and suggested he could become prime minister, the strongest indication yet that he will seek to retain power after he steps down as president early next year.

Putin is barred from seeking a third consecutive term in the March presidential election, but has strongly indicated he would seek to keep a hand on Russia's reins.
He agreed to head the United Russia party's candidate list in December, which could open the door for him to become a powerful prime minister _ leading in tandem with a weakened president.

Putin called a proposal that he become prime minister "entirely realistic," but added that it was still "too early to think about it."

He said that, first, United Russia would have to win the Dec. 2 elections and a "decent, competent, modern person" must be elected president.

Putin's agreement to top the candidate list of United Russia sent an ecstatic cheer though the crowd at a congress of the party, which contains many top officials and dominates the parliament and politics nationwide. The move will likely ensure that United Russia retains a two-thirds majority in the State Duma, the lower house of parliament, enough to change the constitution.

The White House took note of Putin's move and said it was ultimately a matter for the Russian people.

"We will be paying attention to the upcoming elections in Russia and urge them to conduct those elections in a manner that is free, fair and democractic," National Security Council spokesman Gordon Johndroe said Monday.

Leading the party's ticket does not mean Putin will take a seat in parliament; prominent politicians and other figures often are given the top spots to attract votes, but stay out of the legislature after elections. The 450 seats in the Duma will be distributed proportionally among parties that receive at least 7 percent of the votes.

The popular Putin has repeatedly promised to step down at the end of his second term in May, as the constitution requires, but has suggested he would maintain significant influence. He offered some initial hints at his strategy last month when he named Viktor Zubkov _ a previously obscure figure known mainly for his loyalty _ as prime minister.

With no power base of his own, Zubkov would likely play his preordained part in any Putin plan. If he became presiodent and Putin prime minister, Zubkov could be expected to cede specific powers to Putin or step down to allow him to return to the presidency. If he becomes prime minister, Putin would be first in line to replace the president if he is incapacitated.

Putin has amassed authority as president, but as he prepares to step down he has been setting up a system of check and balances that would weaken his successor by putting him at the mercy of rival centers of power. By leading the United Russia party list, Putin instantaneously creates the strongest such center, with himself as its head.

The move means that Putin's successor "will not be a czar," Kremlin-connected analyst Gleb Pavlovsky said on Ekho Moskvy radio. "There will be a new center of influence outside the Kremlin."

Russia's most vocal opposition alliance, co-led by the former world chess champion Garry Kasparov, applied Monday to participate in the December vote but said it expected to be blocked by the Kremlin.

"Our chance for registration is less than zero," Kasparov told journalists, suggesting that a main aim of the application is to draw attention to what Putin's critics say is a severe lack of democracy in Russia. "Once again, we'll show that the government uses administrative and legal leverage to exclude dissidents from the election."

Only registered political parties can participate in the election to the State Duma, the lower parliament house, and none of the dozen or so political movements that comprise Other Russia qualifies.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

guzhevnikov: wow, big surprise, huh?? in the end he'll find some cynical and dishonest way to stay in power. that's what happens when there's no legal system, no real constitution, prostitute- journalists, and a lap-dog media. in russia is NO check on executive power. none. nothing.
that's why the criticism of the west, including this blog, is so important. criticism and pressure from the the west---from western journalists, ngos and politicians---quite literally is the ONLY check on power in russia. and even this has little impact. but little impact is better than nothing.